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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-07-27T20:21Z
Model Inputs: 2024-07-26T21:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-1.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=646.0, HalfAngle=20.0, Time21.5=2024-07-27T00:52Z 2024-07-26T15:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-37.0, Lat.=0.0, Speed=328.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-07-27T01:21Z 2024-07-26T20:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-5.0, Lat.=-15.0, Speed=676.0, HalfAngle=42.0, Time21.5=2024-07-27T01:23Z 2024-07-27T06:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=5.0, Lat.=13.0, Speed=803.0, HalfAngle=42.0, Time21.5=2024-07-27T10:34Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-07-29T13:38Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -9.7 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 23.7 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.1 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=6 (kp)135=8 (kp)180=8 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-30T19:43Z Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-28T14:01Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-29T08:51Z [PE: -10.4 hr] Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-01T06:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_005000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : The combined leading edge of the CMEs may impact BepiColombo around 2024-07-28T10:40Z (plus/minus 7 hours). Submitted on 2024-07-27T20:32Z by Mary Aronne A Notification with ID 20240727-AL-004 was sent on 2024-07-27T20:54Z |
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